Thursday, August 04, 2005

DEBUNKED - July 7 Bombings

Okay, recent envents now prove that this entire "conspiracy theory" is probably bunkem. Most notably is the recent footage of Sidique Khan in a traditional "pre-suicide" rant about how "We are at war and I am a soldier. Now you too will taste the reality of this situation." As Khan was responsible for the Edgware Road attack it seems less likely that the others were "unknowing" of their plight - had he been on the bus it may have been different. Anyhow, it's complete bunkem so please ignore.

The general consensus at present seems to be that at all 4 bombers on July 7 were locally grown suicide bombers. I don't doubt they were Muslim and locally grown, but what if...???

What if they were under someone's influence and they had been told to expect a completely different outcome? Perhaps they thought they were going to follow the same M.O. as the Madrid bombings - i.e. drop bags onto Trains and leave the scene? Perhaps they had no idea at all???

So, why this angle? Well, it seems ludicrous that they'd leave a stack of bombs in their vehicle at the station at Luton. If it was left for another cell (as has been suggested) then why didn't they take it - it wasn't traced till days later so plenty of time for it to go walkies. So could it be that they (the 4 bombers) thought they would be returning? How better to create an illusion that you wouldn't be hurt by making them think this was "just the start"? But then again, we don't know a great deal about this vehicle - was it the car that all 3 came down from Leeds in? Or was it just the 4th bomber's car?

Another "unsettling" picture in my mind - look at the relaxed swagger of the group on the closed circuit camera's - these guys are either dead cool or are they completely unsuspecting of what's about to happen? I can't speak for the experience, but if I know if I was about to kill myself, I'd be pretty pumped with adrenalin - I'd be showing some form of nerves.

So, possible scenarios?

1. Madrid MO Turned into Suicide Bombers by Third Party

Group arrives in London and they spread out on arrival with the intention of dropping their bags at designated locations (before some cutoff time). However, someone triggers the bombs ahead of schedule (perhaps the 4th bomber on the bus, possibly someone else) but it's done way ahead of schedule. Why? Perhaps they struggled to win over "locally grown" youth into killing themselves - yet, as we've well scene, it's exactly that thought (locally grown suicide bombers) that scares the living bejebus out of westerners. So, by killing the "unsuspecting couriers" they are turned into instant "suicide bombers".

Okay, but what about the 4th bomber? Well, that's where it may all come unstuck. If this was meant to be a deception, then his late detonation either completely rules out this theory ... OR, perhaps he was the "trigger" (the person who "lured" the other 3 in and triggered the bombs early) thus making him more significant in the scheme of things and eventually committed suicide himself... OR, what if his just didn't fire like the others did (maybe he had one of the dodgy detonators like those carried on July 21st)? What if he was suddenly witness to the deception/double cross? What does he do? He could run for the police? Nah, he's already committed to killing people - he just hadn't counted on him being one of them. So, does he continue (as best he can) onto his target? The train won't get him there anymore, so he jumps a bus. Then, as he crawls through the chaos that is London following the bombings, he sits there paranoid about when his is due to go off. Perhaps the 4th bomb was the real scheduled time? No. If that was the case then all he needed to do was jump off the bus ahead of this time.

But what about a dodgy SMS? Ever had an SMS turn up late on your mobile because you were out of range when it was sent? I get 'em all the time (sometimes days later). What if he was out of range for the original bombs causing the SMS to be queued. Then perhaps he met a sudden burst of mobile frequency (or someone sent a 2nd SMS - perhaps someone rang his mobile) and boom - another one gone. Who knows, perhaps he was trying to back out of the attack, realising the deception and thinking (luckily) his device had failed, and was trying to get back to Luton? Then in his effort to cradle it on the bus, he set it off???

Yeah, I know, it's quickly falling apart, but I can't get past the sight of the cool and collected nature these guys exhibited when they were caught on camera - they really do look like they are on an excursion - they look like they have no idea what's about to hit them...

So that makes me wonder - did they know at all?

2. Completely Unsuspecting Fools?

Could they have been completely unaware of what was about to happen? Was their excursion to Wales a way of creating a false sense of security and trust in a group (and to another third party - who was manipulating them) - as opposed to a pre-bombing "bonding session"/last rites? And, having established a sense of trust in the group, perhaps they just thought they were heading off on another excursion? Perhaps off to a day at the cricket (douh, cricket was in Leeds that day wasn't it)? Okay, so I'm clutching at straws here...

Again, they look like a bunch of guys heading out on an excursion - who knows, maybe it was meant to be a treasure hunt or something with each one sent out in different directions looking for clues?

Yeah, it starting to stink this theory as they would have had to have known what was in the bags - yeah, they could have been handed them at Luton but I'd have looked (they had time to kill on the train) so they would have known something wasn't right - so I tend to favour the Madrid MO Deception. But I still think they were unsuspecting of their "plight".

So, did we see similar behaviour in the July 21st (attempted) bombings? These guys looked far more like nervous terrorists (but then we've not seen any footage of the other guys just prior to the bombing). Were they thinking - drop and run? Doubt it, some of the accounts sounded like they went off with it on their backs - so you'd assume they either knew it was coming or (again) had no idea what was inside (again unlikely- you could fool a group once but not after July 7th). No, they went off (the bombs) with them around and they bolted - they had to know what was going off - so they had to have known about the "bombs" - so that would tend to indicate they were going to suicide...

So, July 21st probably blows the original theories out of the water - so ignore both then.

However, in another twist ...

3. Any Relationship to Cricket?

1st bombing - England plays Australia in Leeds (Headingly) - the home of the 1st group of bombers.

2nd Bombing - England plays Australia in London - home of the 2nd group of bombers.

3rd bombing ??? - England is playing Australia in Birmingham RIGHT NOW!!! (4 weeks since the 1st). Now, there's a lot of focus in London at the moment (expecting another attack) but is anyone watching things in Birmingham????

Yes, yes, all grand theories and all as lousy as the other. But, time to put it on the record so I can tell you all "I told you so" later on...